← Issue №4/ week of Jul 26, 2026/Hepatology

Internal validation of the Hepascore and Liver Outcome Score for predicting clinical outcomes in autoimmune hepatitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis: a multi-centre study.

From GI Signals issue №4: what this paper found, what it changes, and where it sits against the current standard of care, reviewed by Simon Mathews, MD.

Hepatology prospective cohort · n=404 · Jul 25, 2026 · Dig Liver Dis · IF 4.2

Internal validation of the Hepascore and Liver Outcome Score for predicting clinical outcomes in autoimmune hepatitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis: a multi-centre study.

New evidenceautoimmune hepatitisPSCliver transplantbiomarker
Clinical takeawayConsider using LOS ≥5.9 to identify high-risk AIH patients (74.4% vs 94.3% 5-year transplant-free survival) and Hepascore ≥0.84 for high-risk PSC patients across all endpoints.
What it foundLOS predicted overall death or transplant in AIH (5-year tAUC=0.78, HR 1.28, cutoff ≥5.9) and PSC (5-year tAUC=0.77, HR 1.20) but not liver-related mortality or decompensation in AIH; Hepascore predicted overall death or transplant (5-year tAUC=0.81, HR 8.63), liver-related mortality (5-year tAUC=0.79, HR 60), and decompensation (5-year tAUC=0.76, HR 5.62, cutoff ≥0.84) in PSC.
ContextConfirms and refines predictive utility of LOS and Hepascore in AIH and PSC, previously proposed but not widely adopted. Prior standard relied on clinical judgment and less validated scoring systems.
Emergingsuggested applicable standard· AASLD 2023 (Bowlus et al., Hepatology 77:659-702) practice guidance on PSC and cholangiocarcinoma, supersedes AASLD 2010; alongside EASL 2022 sclerosing cholangitis guideline

Decision at stakepredicting clinical outcomes in primary sclerosing cholangitis

Diagnose PSC with high-quality MRCP as the reference-standard imaging (avoid ERCP for diagnostic purposes; if MRCP findings are equivocal, repeat MRCP rather than proceeding to ERCP), reserving ERCP for therapeutic intervention, and exclude secondary sclerosing cholangitis/IgG4-related disease.

From our summary of this standard, unedited — the part the paper bears on. marks omitted text. Our wording, not the guideline's; read the source for its own text.

Our full summary of this standard

Diagnose PSC with high-quality MRCP as the reference-standard imaging (avoid ERCP for diagnostic purposes; if MRCP findings are equivocal, repeat MRCP rather than proceeding to ERCP), reserving ERCP for therapeutic intervention, and exclude secondary sclerosing cholangitis/IgG4-related disease. No disease-modifying therapy is proven to alter transplant-free survival, but moderate-dose UDCA (13-23 mg/kg/day) may now be considered and continued in patients not enrolled in or eligible for a clinical trial if it produces a meaningful improvement in alkaline phosphatase (GGT in children) and/or symptoms by 12 months, discontinuing if no response; high-dose UDCA remains contraindicated. Perform annual abdominal MRI/MRCP with or without serum CA19-9 for cholangiocarcinoma/gallbladder-cancer surveillance in adults with large-duct PSC (not recommended under age 18 or in small-duct PSC). Manage gallbladder polyps by size, cholecystectomy for polyps >8 mm, ultrasound surveillance every 6 months for polyps ≤8 mm, rather than referring every polyp. For colorectal surveillance, begin surveillance colonoscopy at the time of PSC-IBD diagnosis (or at age 15 for childhood-onset disease) and repeat at 1-2 year intervals; in PSC without IBD, perform a diagnostic colonoscopy at PSC diagnosis and repeat every 5 years if IBD is not found. Evaluate dominant strictures with brush cytology plus FISH (± cholangioscopy) before/at balloon dilation, repeating ERCP with sampling in 3 months if cytology is suspicious regardless of FISH result. Treat recurrent cholangitis and cholestatic pruritus, maintain bone health, and refer for transplant evaluation for decompensation, intractable pruritus, recurrent bacterial cholangitis, or early-stage CCA per Mayo protocol.

AASLD 2023 (Bowlus et al., Hepatology 77:659-702) practice guidance on PSC and cholangiocarcinoma, supersedes AASLD 2010; alongside EASL 2022 sclerosing cholangitis guideline · reviewed 2026-07-24 ↗
Jayabalan D … Jeffrey GP · Digestive and Liver Disease : Official Journal of the Italian Society of Gastroenterology and the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver · IF 4.2 · PubMed ↗Permalink
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